Why Japan's Conviction Rate is 99% (Actually Explained)

That Japanese Man Yuta · 81K views · 2020 · 11:10

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Why Hacker News recommends it

Recommended as a sourced, nuanced corrective whenever the Japanese justice system's conviction rate is raised.

What it is

Yuta explains what Japan's 99% conviction rate actually means, noting that prosecutors drop cases unless confidence is very high. He argues that the number is widely misunderstood and cites his sources.

Recommended by 3 HN commenters across 3 different months, 2020 to 2020.

What Hacker News said

Recommends diegoperini · 2020-02 · on “Japan’s Lost-and-Found System”

I'm not Japanese, but I've seen this Japanese person explaining the situation informally but thoroughly. [this video] The premise is, yes 99% percent is a measured rate but also has no utility in a discussion if the other parts of the big picture is ignored.

Recommends jdtang13 · 2020-03 · on “Problems with Japan's Covid-19 reports”

This 99% number does not mean what people think it means. The Japanese prosecution system is a pipeline that strongly filters out unlikely-to-be-convicted cases from the very beginning. Long before you are convicted, you might not even be arrested, or your case gets dismissed earlier in the pipeline. Here is a video, with references, from a relatively trustworthy source: [this video]

Recommends kyuudou · 2020-05 · on “U.S. arrests former Green Beret, son, in connection with Ghosn escape from Japan”

You might want to hear what Yuta has to say about this[1]. It's not as black and white, basically. 1: [this video]

Cites jbay808 · 2020-02 · on “Japan’s Lost-and-Found System”

The high conviction rate seems to be because cases are dropped unless the prosecution's confidence is very high, rather than letting it go to trial. [this video]